A decade ago, al-Qaida in Iraq was beaten down by the U.S. military, only to emerge years later as the self-declared Islamic State in Iraq and Syria.
The Islamist group al-Shabab, which killed more than 140 students at a Kenyan university last week, has pulled off a different feat of rebranding.
Without abandoning its Somali origins, it tailored its tactics to appeal to local jihadists across East Africa. Its strategy of selective extremism means al-Shabab looks and acts very different on different sides of the Somali border.
A Broader Agenda
In Somalia, al-Shabab targets anyone who deviates from its extremist interpretation of Islam.
"Anyone who does not subscribe to the Salafi doctrine is branded as an apostate," says Rashid Abdi, an independent analyst based in Nairobi. "Here in Kenya, they operate very differently. They embrace all Muslims, and pretend not to be sectarian, and here their only enemy is Christianity and Christians."
In last week's university attack, al-Shabab bragged about separating out and releasing the Muslim students before killing the Christians.
In Somalia, al-Shabab has aspired since its founding about 10 years ago to rule the country under a fanatical interpretation of Sharia law. In territory it has controlled, al-Shabab was known for stoning women and cutting off the hands of thieves.
But in Kenya, it portrays itself as a pan-Muslim protector. On al-Shabab websites, the group vowed further attacks in Kenya "until all Muslim lands are liberated from Kenyan occupation."
What could the slaughter of college students have to do with fighting so-called Christian "occupiers"? Recent al-Shabab attacks in Kenya have all aimed at instilling fear in soft targets — teachers, health care workers, students — living in areas along the Somali border where ethnic Somalis are the majority of the population. For half a century, some Somalis have laid claim to this region, known as "Greater Somalia."
'Big-Tent' Recruitment
Al-Shabab has a big-tent approach to recruitment in Kenya. They don't just recruit ethnic Somalis. They don't even just recruit Muslims, according to Matt Bryden, director of a Nairobi-based think tank called Sahan Research.
Al-Shabab has actively recruited "hundreds, if not more than a thousand ... non-Somali Kenyans. These are not even people who were necessarily born Muslim," Bryden says. "And they're not particularly interested in what's happening in Somalia."
And yet, "these are fighters who now say in Swahili [the Kenyan official language], 'We are al-Shabab,' " he says.
Parselelo Kantai, who writes about al-Shabab for the magazine Africa Report, says that al-Shabab has mastered the art of recruiting in Kenya's Christian slums, offering money, weapons training and a quick conversion to Islam. Slick recruitment videos produced in the style of Islamic State downplay Islamic fundamentalism and emphasize the corruption of Kenyan security forces.
"The propaganda Shabab is developing is a propaganda against the so-called corrupt Kenyan state, and urging people, specifically Muslims, to rise up against it in their homelands," Kantai says.
Kenyans At War With Kenya
In a survey published by the Africa-based Institute for Security Studies, researcher Anneli Botha interviewed 95 individuals connected with al-Shabab and 46 relatives of people who joined the Islamist group — all of them Kenyans. She writes:
"When asked to identify the single most important factor that drove respondents to join al-Shabaab, 65% specifically referred to the government's counterterrorism strategy. Comments included: 'Government and security forces hate Islam', and 'All Muslims are treated as terrorists', but also pointed to more specific examples: 'the assassination of Muslim leaders' or the 'extra-judicial killing of Muslims'."
Around the world, government corruption is a catalyst for terrorism. Corruption provides both a source of popular anger to fuel insurgency and creates a climate of distrust that obstructs effective policing.
But al-Shabab has perfected a propaganda about Kenyan corruption that capitalizes on and magnifies both the anger and the distrust.
"Kenyans are actually at war with Kenya," says Parselelo Kantai, "in the name of al-Shabab."
The Kenyan government has preferred to externalize the threat rather than look within.
While the university attack was still ongoing, even before security forces had ascertained the number of gunmen, Kenya's Interior Ministry had already issued a $200,000 reward for information leading to the capture of the alleged mastermind: a senior al-Shabab commander in Somalia known more for leading troops on the battlefield than organizing acts of terror.
Days later, one of the gunmen was revealed as a young Kenyan, born to a Kenyan government official, educated in top Kenyan schools who studied law at the University of Nairobi.
In a speech to the nation on Saturday, Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta acknowledged the problem of homegrown Kenyan terrorism.
"Our task of countering terrorism has been made all the more difficult by the fact that the planners and financiers of this brutality are deeply embedded in our communities," he said.
But the next day, the Kenyan air force launched a retaliatory bombing raid over the border against two al-Shabab bases in Somalia.
George Musamili, a former member of Kenya's elite special police who now runs his own security company, calls the air raid a dangerous distraction.
"Kenya needs to focus on the enemy within," he says. That means repairing damaged ties between Kenya's police and its Muslim community, to be able to get information to stop the next attack.
And that will require Kenya's security forces to do some serious rebranding of its own.
Transcript
RENEE MONTAGNE, HOST:
The flags are flying at half-staff in Kenya today. It's a show of national mourning in a country still reeling from the massacre of 148 people, mostly students, at a university not far from Kenya's border with Somalia.
STEVE INSKEEP, HOST:
That location highlights the transformation of the militant group al-Shabab, which until recently controlled parts of Somalia. It emerged there about 10 years ago, promising security in a failed and violent state.
MONTAGNE: Instead, the Islamist militants instituted a form of religious law so harsh they were driven out. NPR's Gregory Warner has been reporting on how al-Shabab has morphed into a transnational network. For more, he joined us from Nairobi. Good morning.
GREGORY WARNER, BYLINE: Good morning.
MONTAGNE: As I just said, initially the group promised stability in the country of Somalia. So what caused the shift in the identity of al-Shabab so it became more than just a Somalian entity?
WARNER: Well, the biggest shift was that al-Shabab lost the reins of power. They were in charge of Somalia, but they had their hands full with governing. And then the successful U.S.-backed military campaign to oust them, using African troops based in Mogadishu, has pushed them out of government and allowed al-Shabab to focus more on what they do, which is terrorism. So there's more now recruitment, radicalization and training within Kenya - these indigenous jihadist groups - and al-Shabab is linked up with those. So al-Shabab now looks a little more like al-Qaida; it's a brand. It speaks many languages and carries many passports.
MONTAGNE: Why is al-Shabab's message catching on in Kenya?
WARNER: Well, al-Shabab has a very different face in Kenya than in Somalia. I think this is really important to understand. So, for instance, in Somalia, they have absolutely no compunction about killing Muslims, right? They'll target civil servants, government officials. They'll bomb people praying in a mosque. Osama bin Laden used to criticize al-Shabab for this. But anyone who doesn't subscribe to their very extreme version of Islam is an apostate and a target.
In Kenya - totally different messaging. They present themselves as a champion and protector for all Muslim interests, and they preach Muslim solidarity. And so if you look back, for instance, at the Westgate shopping mall attack in Nairobi in 2013, they mostly let Muslims go, but not every Muslim. In fact, there were stories of them killing Muslim women 'cause they weren't, quote, "modestly dressed." They weren't wearing headscarves. We didn't see any of that in this latest attack in the university. They killed some Muslims in the shooting spree, but they tried as much as possible to let Muslims go, again trying to prove to Kenya that they're here for all Muslims.
MONTAGNE: And, of course, that particular section of Kenya was in dispute. Somalia claimed it, so they're seeing that as - what? - a Muslim area.
WARNER: Exactly. And this plays into concerns that Muslims have in these areas that are not ideological, that have to do much more with economics and a feeling of government corruption and a constant narrative that's been here for half a century about Christians from the central area coming in with government connections and being able to take, quote, unquote, "Muslim-owned lands." So al-Shabab is trying to insert itself into this narrative in trying to present themselves as the champion and protector of Muslim interests, not necessarily extremist Muslim, but trying to present themselves as the defender of all Muslims in Kenya.
MONTAGNE: Well, then what is the feeling now after all these attacks, especially this last one, among Kenya's Christians?
WARNER: I've talked to dozens of Kenyan Christians in the last few days. I have not heard a lot of anti-Muslim sentiment. Kenyans are proud of living in a multi-ethnic, multi-religious country that's known for a fair amount of religious tolerance. They don't want to change that. What people are angry with, though, and do talk about is the government. They say the government needs to change its strategy, especially vis-a-vis Muslims, in order to keep Kenya safer.
MONTAGNE: NPR's Gregory Warner speaking to us from Nairobi, Kenya. Thanks very much.
WARNER: Thank you, Renee. Transcript provided by NPR, Copyright NPR.
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