As Republicans from around the country attend the party’s national convention in Milwaukee, local GOP leaders are working to make Wisconsin a red state again.
For months, state Republicans have been building an organizing ground game that relies on the resources of out-of-state groups and emphasizes early voting in hopes of reelecting former President Donald Trump.
In 2020, Biden won the state by just over 20,000 votes — flipping it after Trump narrowly beat out Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Campaign organizers expect another close race. This year, the Wisconsin GOP and aligned groups have focused on building a unified ground game to re-elect former President Donald Trump, which they hope will grow stronger after this week’s Republican National Convention in Milwaukee.
"There will be a lot of opportunity to showcase Wisconsin. And hopefully, we can make the case to all these out-of-staters that we need your help here," said Bill McCoshen, a Wisconsin-based GOP strategist. "If you want to win the presidential race, Wisconsin is critical and we need your support."
Some Wisconsin voters weigh whether to vote in November
While security measures increased in downtown Milwaukee following the assassination attempt on Trump last weekend, hundreds of people in Sussex in Waukesha County gathered for the annual Lions Daze parade on Sunday morning.
Waukesha is one of three suburban counties, outside Milwaukee, that are Republican strongholds but Democrats have gained ground in 2016 and 2020.
Samantha Garcia has set up a lemonade stand with her two kids along the parade route for the past three years. Neighbors swing by to pay $1 a lemonade. She said she has never paid much attention to politics — the last time she voted was for former President Barack Obama. The shooting on Saturday saddened her.
This election cycle, she said she prefers Republican candidate.
“Trump is definitely better than Biden either way,” Garcia said. “Biden can't really talk for himself. So everything I've seen of him doesn't make our country look that great.”
Still, she is not convinced to vote on election day.
“Every President makes promises, and they're not always kept. It is what it is, and it's the cycle of life,” Garcia said.
Up the block setting up some lawn chairs was David Yuris, a lifelong Republican who has voted for Trump in the past. This year though, he said he will be voting for Biden instead.
“I was reading what he wants to do with Project 2025 and I just cannot stand behind that,” Yuris said. “Right now, I'm just trying to get through the next four years and trying to get rid of what we have as current candidates.”
Under a big white tent was Kim Rebarchik, a Republican who said she plans on supporting Trump this cycle, as she had before.
“I don't agree with the way the economy and things have been going with this current administration,” Rebarchik said. “It's just very divisive and this is America. So I'm proud to be an American and I would like to keep it that way.”
Sitting on the grass was Kayla Gulland, who was raised as a Democrat but has since identified more as a Republican. Gulland was also saddened by Saturday’s events, calling the shooting disgusting.
“Violence is never the answer,” Gulland said. “The people behind them, innocent bystanders, like what if they got caught in the middle of it or injured? And I'm sure there's children at those rallies, too. So it's just it's just very messed up. It's sad.”
She did not participate in the last election because she didn’t fully trust the election process nor did she think her vote would matter.
“If I would have gone to the polls, I would have voted Republican, I would have voted for Trump,” she said, adding that she might vote this year because she is unhappy with Biden. But she is also unhappy with what she considers the transactional and polarizing nature of campaigns.
“I just hate how with campaigns, people are coming to your door,” she said. “Or just all the commercials and just the stretch that some of the marketing goes to.”
Voters in Wisconsin have already received attention from the two top candidates: President Biden and Trump. Biden has visited the state five times. Trump’s arrival to Milwaukee on Sunday ahead of the convention marks his fourth visit. Previously making stops in towns like Greenbay and Racine — Trump has used his time in the state to tout trade and agriculture policy, as well as immigration.
Republican leaders in the state are focusing on pocketbook issues -- like inflation and food prices -- to mobilize voters.
"A lot of politics is about perception. The perception is these guys do have an impact on those things and their policies do have an impact," McCoshen said referring to how he thinks voters view presidential candidates. "Whether that's fact or fiction, if voters believe it, that's a politician's reality."
But just focusing on issues is not enough to swing a state, and money and voter engagement are still needed to get those like Gulland and Yenni to turn their preference for Trump into votes.
That is what the GOP is working to undertake and they hope many ballots for Trump are cast before polls close in November.
A GOP goal this cycle is to find new voters and get them voting early
McCoshen said that changes in political fundraising spearheaded by a Republican legislature and approved by former GOP Gov. Scott Walker that changed the limits of donations have resulted in Democrats receiving more funding and donations to fund their efforts.
A report from the Wisconsin Democracy Campaign showed that Democratic Party fundraising was fueled by dozens of five- and six-figure contributions from wealthy individuals, including three contributors who each gave $1 million or more.
"Republicans will be outspent here from the top of the ticket to the legislative seats. Democrats here over the past few cycles have had significantly more financial resources than Republicans have," McCoshen said. "We're going to have to work harder."
As a part of working harder, Wisconsin has caught the attention of outside right-wing mobilizing group Turning Point Action, the PAC arm of youth conservative group Turning Point.
The Arizona-based organization launched a new initiative this cycle called "Chase The Vote" in Arizona, Wisconsin and Michigan.
They aim to find conservative voters who have never voted and get them to turn out for Trump. They join other conservative organizations like Moms for Liberty and the Wisconsin GOP in mobilizing for Trump in the state.
"We no longer see this as a war of persuasion among swing voters," said Brett Galaszewski. "...It's a turnout problem. And specifically with early voting, we think we can capitalize on that."
Galaszewski explained that through the Turning Point Action App, volunteer and staff organizers, as well as anyone interested, can find identified conservatives near them to mobilize.
"They're with us on the issues, but their only exposure to politics at this point has been a random stranger showing up at their door maybe two weeks out from the election, telling them, 'Hey, it's important for you to vote,'" Galaszewski said. "We want a relationship built through a neighborhood-based approach to be able to relationally get these people out to vote."
After Saturday’s shooting, a spokesperson for Turning Point Action Andrew Kolvet said that “everything still continues” and there is still a “need to do the work.”
Turning Point Action's national goal is to raise $100 million and hire “ballot chasers” to door knock, canvass, register voters and encourage people to vote whether it's in person or by mail. They have dozens of jobs posted in Wisconsin so far. And they are coordinating with the Trump campaign on the canvassing efforts.
The group has previously faced criticism in conservative circles for not successfully helping candidates win general elections, even in their home state of Arizona. The group tends to support conservative firebrand and pro-Trump candidates.
McCoshen said there is concern among rank-and-file Republicans around the state about Turning Point Action's influence on the state party but their resources are. Still, their presence and resources are seen as valuable.
"The reality is Turning Point's got resources that local parties in the state party doesn't have today," McCoshen said. "And so Republicans are going to have to work with them to make sure that we focus on the presidential race, the U.S. Senate race and then down-ballot races as well."
The group’s "Chase the Vote" slogan is repeated from as high up as the state GOP Party Chairman Brian Schimming, who promotes early voting.
"It's someone who thinks like us, acts like us, builds like us, lives like us, but doesn't vote. They just don't vote," Schimming said. "We go get those people to vote for the first time and chase them to make sure that they vote by Election Day."
Transcript
SACHA PFEIFFER, HOST:
Republicans in Wisconsin are counting on their home-state GOP convention to give them a boost. They've spent months building a ground game they hope will win the White House. Here's NPR's political reporter Ximena Bustillo.
(SOUNDBITE OF DRUMS BEATING)
XIMENA BUSTILLO, BYLINE: In Waukesha County, hundreds of people gather along the streets to cheer as the Lions Daze parade makes its way down Main Street. Samantha Garcia has a lemonade stand with her two kids. It can be hard to escape politics when you live in a swing state, so Garcia knows who she wants to win this year.
SAMANTHA GARCIA: Trump is better than Biden either way.
BUSTILLO: But will she vote?
GARCIA: No. Probably. Well, maybe. I don't know. We'll see.
BUSTILLO: This indecisiveness isn't uncommon. In 2020, Biden won Wisconsin by just 20,000 votes, flipping it after Trump won it in 2016. Kayla Gulland also watches the parade. She says she didn't participate in the last election because she didn't fully trust the process, nor did she think her vote would matter.
KAYLA GULLAND: If I would have gone to the polls, I would have voted Republican. I would have voted for Trump.
BUSTILLO: She feels more likely to vote this year but is turned off by campaign strategies.
GULLAND: I just hate how, with campaigns - have people coming to your door, and it's like, this, this, this, or just all the commercials and the marketing.
BUSTILLO: Voters like Garcia and Gulland are exactly the ones Wisconsin Republicans are hoping to turn out. Brian Schimmings (ph) is the Wisconsin GOP chairman. And this year, he says that he wants to encourage voters to vote early.
BRIAN SCHIMMING: We are talking about early vote a lot, and we're talking about turnout a lot. And we're talking about chasing the vote to make sure people vote much more than we have in the past - much more.
BUSTILLO: But this won't be easy for Republicans. Here's Bill McCoshen, a Republican strategist in Wisconsin.
BILL MCCOSHEN: Republicans will be outspent here - from the top of the ticket to the legislative seats. Democrats here over the past few cycles have had significantly more financial resources than Republicans have, and we're going to have to work harder.
BUSTILLO: To that end, the national GOP party convention is seen by state Republicans as a fundraising opportunity.
MCCOSHEN: There will be a lot of opportunity to showcase Wisconsin. And hopefully, we can make the case to all these out-of-staters that we need your help here. If you want to win the presidential race, Wisconsin's critical, and we need your support.
BUSTILLO: Also hoping to make their mark organizing for Trump in the state is youth conservative group Turning Point Action. The Arizona-based organization launched a new initiative called Chase the Vote in Arizona, Wisconsin and Michigan.
BRETT GALASZEWSKI: Now focusing on Wisconsin heavily, the state that I've called home all my life.
BUSTILLO: That's Brett Galaszewski. He has been with Turning Point for five years and is now organizing their efforts in his home state.
GALASZEWSKI: Really excited to build out and now execute on the largest ballot-chasing operation the conservative movement will have ever seen.
BUSTILLO: The goal, he said, is to get people who are conservative but have never turned out before to vote for the first time this November. They are a newer group in Wisconsin, joining other conservative organizations like Moms for Liberty and the Wisconsin GOP in mobilizing for Trump. Turning Point tends to support firebrand conservatives and doesn't have a strong track record of electing candidates. Here's GOP strategist Bill McCoshen.
MCCOSHEN: There's concern among rank-and-file grassroots people across the state about Turning Point sort of, quote-unquote, "taking over the local parties." But the reality is that they're in the lead position right now because they have the resources.
BUSTILLO: At the end of the day, Republicans agree that they are focused on winning the Oval Office and down the ballot. Here's Waukesha County executive Paul Farrow, who is also a delegate nominating Trump.
PAUL FARROW: I think there's a really good collaboration that's starting to occur - marshal as many resources together to say this is our ultimate goal - is to get as many electors out and voting in this fall cycle.
BUSTILLO: And that work will carry Republicans through a busy convention and into November.
Ximena Bustillo, NPR News, Milwaukee.
(SOUNDBITE OF GUSH3R'S "DOUBLE TROUBLE") Transcript provided by NPR, Copyright NPR.
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